Investor Corner/The asset classes/Equity Concepts

2.1.13 Growth vs Value Investing

Growth investing seeks companies expected to grow earnings quickly, often at a higher price. Value investing seeks companies trading below their estimated intrinsic worth, often cheaper on paper. Both styles have delivered strong returns over different long periods.

~3 min read

Two different bets

A growth investor is willing to pay a premium price today for a company expected to grow earnings substantially in the future, betting that the growth will eventually justify the price paid. A value investor looks for companies the market appears to be underpricing relative to their current fundamentals, betting that the price will eventually correct upward as the market recognises that gap.

Growth stocks trade at elevated P/E and P/B ratios because the market is pricing in profits that have not yet arrived, which makes them vulnerable to sharp repricing if growth disappoints: a stock at 60 times earnings on the assumption of 30% growth can halve if growth slows to a still-healthy 15%. Value stocks carry the opposite danger, the value trap, where a stock is cheap because the business is genuinely deteriorating rather than temporarily out of favour. Telling those two apart is the central skill of value investing.

Why leadership rotates between them

Growth tends to lead during periods of low interest rates and strong economic optimism, when investors are willing to pay up for future potential. Value tends to lead during periods of rising rates or economic uncertainty, when investors favour companies already profitable today over promises about tomorrow. Neither style dominates permanently, and long stretches of underperformance for either style are normal, not a sign that the style has stopped working.

In India, growth has broadly beaten value over the last decade, led by a narrow set of quality-growth names in financials, IT and consumer that held persistent premium valuations. That has tempted many investors to conclude growth always wins, which is recency bias: over longer international datasets spanning fifty years or more, value has delivered a premium in most markets and most decades, albeit with stretches of underperformance that can last five to ten years.

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Illustrative long-run paths for growth and value styles. Leadership between the two has historically rotated across different multi-year periods rather than one style leading permanently.

A sensible default

Most long-term investors are better served holding a diversified mix that captures both styles rather than betting heavily on one, since correctly predicting which style will lead over the next several years is genuinely difficult and mistiming that bet is a common source of underperformance.

Most well-built portfolios do not choose exclusively between the two. A blend, whether through a diversified multi-cap fund or through separate growth and value allocations, captures the long-run premium of both styles while reducing the risk of being wholly wrong-footed by a style rotation. Style diversification is a form of risk management as legitimate as diversifying across sectors or market caps.

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